Caleb DouglasorTetairoa McMillan?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Tetairoa McMillan
Tetairoa McMillan outscores Caleb Douglas in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Caleb Douglas comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Tetairoa McMillan, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tetairoa McMillan projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Tetairoa McMillan faces the Green Bay Packers (6% more than average to WRs), Caleb Douglas faces the New England Patriots (1% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Caleb Douglas is the pick at 54%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 10.4
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 25%
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 24.1
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 25%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Caleb DouglasWR, MIA, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tetairoa McMillanWR, CAR, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.0 | 12.5 |
| PPR projection | 13.4 | 15.3 |
| Standard projection | 10.6 | 9.8 |
| Rank this week | WR13 | WR9 |
| Matchup | vs NE | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.6 | 13.2 |
| Last season per game | — | 10.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 68% | 68% |
| Trade value | 27 | 27 |