Tetairoa McMillanorZay Flowers?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Zay Flowers
Zay Flowers outscores Tetairoa McMillan in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tetairoa McMillan comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Zay Flowers, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Zay Flowers projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Zay Flowers faces the Cleveland Browns (1% fewer than average to WRs), Tetairoa McMillan faces the Philadelphia Eagles (1% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 25.7
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Tetairoa McMillanWR, CAR, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Zay FlowersWR, BAL, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.3 | 13.8 |
| PPR projection | 16.0 | 16.7 |
| Standard projection | 10.6 | 10.9 |
| Rank this week | WR8 | WR7 |
| Matchup | at PHI | at CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.4 | 17.2 |
| Last season per game | 10.5 | 11.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 82% |
| Trade value | 36 | 37 |