Carnell TateorParker Washington?

Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Parker Washington

Parker Washington outscores Carnell Tate in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Carnell Tate comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Parker Washington, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Parker Washington projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Carnell Tate has the better matchup against the Houston Texans (2% more than average to WRs); Parker Washington faces the Philadelphia Eagles (6% fewer than average to WRs). Parker Washington still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Parker Washington wins 60%. Carnell Tate is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Carnell Tate
Floor
0.9
Median
7.9
Ceiling
17.8
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
37%
Parker Washington
Floor
2.8
Median
8.0
Ceiling
17.5
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
34%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatCarnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETParker WashingtonWR, JAX, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.99.4
PPR projection11.611.2
Standard projection6.27.7
Rank this weekWR25WR23
Matchupvs HOUvs PHI
InjuryQuestionableNone
2026 points per game8.910.8
Last season per game—9.7
Snap share, last game84%80%
Trade value66