Carnell TateorKC Concepcion?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean KC Concepcion
KC Concepcion outscores Carnell Tate in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Carnell Tate comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean KC Concepcion, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. KC Concepcion projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: KC Concepcion faces the Houston Texans (average to WRs), Carnell Tate faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (2% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 7.7
- Ceiling
- 17.4
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 32%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Carnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | KC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.1 | 9.9 |
| PPR projection | 11.6 | 12.2 |
| Standard projection | 6.6 | 7.7 |
| Rank this week | WR32 | WR29 |
| Matchup | vs JAX | vs HOU |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.6 | 7.8 |
| Last season per game | — | — |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 93% |
| Trade value | — | 6 |