Carnell TateorDeMario Douglas?

Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Carnell Tate

Carnell Tate outscores DeMario Douglas in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: DeMario Douglas comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Carnell Tate, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 9.1 half-PPR points in Week 10. DeMario Douglas has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (14% more than average to WRs); Carnell Tate faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (2% more than average to WRs). Carnell Tate still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Carnell Tate
Floor
2.7
Median
7.7
Ceiling
17.4
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
37%
DeMario Douglas
Floor
1.8
Median
7.3
Ceiling
19.2
Big game (20+):
9%
Dud (under 6):
42%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatCarnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETDeMario DouglasWR, NE, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.19.1
PPR projection11.610.8
Standard projection6.67.5
Rank this weekWR32WR30
Matchupvs JAXat DET
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.69.0
Last season per game—5.0
Snap share, last game89%68%
Trade value——