DeMario DouglasorKC Concepcion?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start KC Concepcion
KC Concepcion outscores DeMario Douglas in 56% of simulations.
DeMario Douglas still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so KC Concepcion is the better bet, not a sure thing. DeMario Douglas projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. KC Concepcion has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (14% more than average to WRs); DeMario Douglas faces the New York Jets (5% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, KC Concepcion wins 62%; in Standard leagues, DeMario Douglas is the pick at 55%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 4.5
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 61%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 11.2
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DeMario DouglasWR, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | KC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.3 | 6.1 |
| PPR projection | 7.4 | 8.4 |
| Standard projection | 5.2 | 3.8 |
| Rank this week | WR38 | WR42 |
| Matchup | vs NYJ | vs BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.6 | 4.6 |
| Last season per game | 5.0 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 49% | 16% |
| Trade value | — | — |