KC ConcepcionorLadd McConkey?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean KC Concepcion

KC Concepcion outscores Ladd McConkey in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Ladd McConkey comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean KC Concepcion, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ladd McConkey projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. KC Concepcion has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (14% more than average to WRs); Ladd McConkey faces the Kansas City Chiefs (21% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Ladd McConkey is the pick at 58%. Ladd McConkey is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

KC Concepcion
Floor
2.1
Median
5.5
Ceiling
11.2
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
56%
Ladd McConkey
Floor
0.3
Median
5.4
Ceiling
13.0
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
55%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETLadd McConkeyWR, LAC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.16.3
PPR projection8.47.7
Standard projection3.85.0
Rank this weekWR42WR39
Matchupvs BALat KC
InjuryNoneQuestionable
2026 points per game4.67.6
Last season per game—9.2
Snap share, last game16%34%
Trade value——