Courtland SuttonorDeMario Douglas?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Courtland Sutton
Courtland Sutton outscores DeMario Douglas in 60% of simulations.
DeMario Douglas still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Courtland Sutton is the better bet, not a sure thing. Courtland Sutton projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. DeMario Douglas has the better matchup against the New York Jets (5% fewer than average to WRs); Courtland Sutton faces the Seattle Seahawks (19% fewer than average to WRs). Courtland Sutton still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 4.5
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 61%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Courtland SuttonWR, DEN, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET | DeMario DouglasWR, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.8 | 6.3 |
| PPR projection | 8.2 | 7.4 |
| Standard projection | 5.4 | 5.2 |
| Rank this week | WR35 | WR38 |
| Matchup | vs SEA | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.4 | 6.6 |
| Last season per game | 10.7 | 5.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 49% |
| Trade value | — | — |