Brian Thomas Jr.orMack Hollins?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Mack Hollins
Mack Hollins outscores Brian Thomas Jr. in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Brian Thomas Jr. comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Mack Hollins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Mack Hollins projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Mack Hollins faces the Las Vegas Raiders (average to WRs), Brian Thomas Jr. faces the Philadelphia Eagles (5% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 11.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 12.0
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brian Thomas Jr.WR, JAX, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 a.m. ET | Mack HollinsWR, NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 6.8 |
| PPR projection | 8.1 | 8.6 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 5.1 |
| Rank this week | WR47 | WR45 |
| Matchup | vs PHI | vs LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.3 | 7.1 |
| Last season per game | 8.2 | 6.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 62% | 41% |
| Trade value | — | — |