Mack HollinsorQuentin Johnston?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Quentin Johnston
Quentin Johnston outscores Mack Hollins in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Mack Hollins comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Quentin Johnston, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Quentin Johnston projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Mack Hollins has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (5% fewer than average to WRs); Quentin Johnston faces the Seattle Seahawks (19% fewer than average to WRs). Quentin Johnston still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 11.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Mack HollinsWR, NE, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Quentin JohnstonWR, LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 6.8 |
| PPR projection | 8.5 | 8.1 |
| Standard projection | 4.9 | 5.4 |
| Rank this week | WR47 | WR46 |
| Matchup | at BUF | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.2 | 3.4 |
| Last season per game | 6.5 | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 87% |
| Trade value | — | — |