Caleb DouglasorRyan Flournoy?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Caleb Douglas
Caleb Douglas outscores Ryan Flournoy in 69% of simulations.
Ryan Flournoy still comes out ahead in the other 31%, so Caleb Douglas is the better bet, not a sure thing. Caleb Douglas projects 4.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Caleb Douglas faces the New England Patriots (1% fewer than average to WRs), Ryan Flournoy faces the Arizona Cardinals (3% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Caleb Douglas wins 74%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 10.4
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 25%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Caleb DouglasWR, MIA, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET | Ryan FlournoyWR, DAL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.0 | 7.5 |
| PPR projection | 13.4 | 9.3 |
| Standard projection | 10.6 | 5.7 |
| Rank this week | WR15 | WR39 |
| Matchup | vs NE | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.6 | 7.1 |
| Last season per game | — | 6.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 68% | 78% |
| Trade value | 25 | — |