Carnell TateorTerry McLaurin?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Carnell Tate
Carnell Tate outscores Terry McLaurin in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Terry McLaurin comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Carnell Tate, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Carnell Tate projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Carnell Tate faces the Houston Texans (2% more than average to WRs), Terry McLaurin faces the New York Giants (8% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Terry McLaurin is the pick at 57%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 18.6
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 32%
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Carnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Terry McLaurinWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.9 | 9.8 |
| PPR projection | 12.9 | 11.8 |
| Standard projection | 6.9 | 7.9 |
| Rank this week | WR23 | WR24 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.9 | 8.4 |
| Last season per game | — | 9.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 75% |
| Trade value | 10 | 6 |