Carnell TateorStefon Diggs?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Stefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs outscores Carnell Tate in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Carnell Tate comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Stefon Diggs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Stefon Diggs projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Stefon Diggs faces the New York Giants (8% more than average to WRs), Carnell Tate faces the Houston Texans (2% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 18.3
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 18.8
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Carnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Stefon DiggsWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.9 | 10.5 |
| PPR projection | 12.9 | 13.0 |
| Standard projection | 6.9 | 8.0 |
| Rank this week | WR20 | WR17 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.9 | 11.0 |
| Last season per game | — | 9.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 66% |
| Trade value | 11 | 13 |