Deebo Samuel Sr.orTerry McLaurin?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Terry McLaurin
Terry McLaurin outscores Deebo Samuel Sr. in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Deebo Samuel Sr. comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Terry McLaurin, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Terry McLaurin projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Terry McLaurin has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (15% more than average to WRs); Deebo Samuel Sr. faces the Denver Broncos (15% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 8.4
- Ceiling
- 17.4
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
- Floor
- 3.6
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 17.5
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Deebo Samuel Sr.WR, SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Terry McLaurinWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.6 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 11.3 | 12.2 |
| Standard projection | 8.0 | 8.2 |
| Rank this week | WR23 | WR20 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.8 | 8.4 |
| Last season per game | 9.5 | 9.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 75% |
| Trade value | 13 | 4 |