Jalen CokerorTerry McLaurin?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin outscores Jalen Coker in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Jalen Coker comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Terry McLaurin, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jalen Coker projects 0.6 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Terry McLaurin faces the Indianapolis Colts (15% more than average to WRs), Jalen Coker faces the Detroit Lions (20% more than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jalen Coker
Floor
2.4
Median
8.5
Ceiling
21.1
Big game (20+):
12%
Dud (under 6):
34%
Terry McLaurin
Floor
3.6
Median
8.9
Ceiling
17.5
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
27%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJalen CokerWR, CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ETTerry McLaurinWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection10.810.2
PPR projection13.112.2
Standard projection8.48.2
Rank this weekWR17WR20
Matchupvs DETvs IND
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game14.48.4
Last season per game6.79.5
Snap share, last game36%75%
Trade value64