Denzel BostonorDK Metcalf?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Denzel Boston
Denzel Boston outscores DK Metcalf in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DK Metcalf comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Denzel Boston, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Denzel Boston projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. DK Metcalf has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (14% more than average to WRs); Denzel Boston faces the New York Jets (5% fewer than average to WRs). Denzel Boston still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 19.9
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 9.8
- Ceiling
- 19.0
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 21%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Denzel BostonWR, CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | DK MetcalfWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.5 | 10.9 |
| PPR projection | 13.1 | 13.1 |
| Standard projection | 9.9 | 8.7 |
| Rank this week | WR14 | WR16 |
| Matchup | at NYJ | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.2 | 8.8 |
| Last season per game | — | 10.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 95% | 97% |
| Trade value | 27 | 13 |