A.J. BrownorDenzel Boston?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean A.J. Brown
A.J. Brown outscores Denzel Boston in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Denzel Boston comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean A.J. Brown, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. A.J. Brown projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: A.J. Brown faces the Chicago Bears (14% more than average to WRs), Denzel Boston faces the Tennessee Titans (14% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Denzel Boston is the pick at 55%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 21.3
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 29%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 18.2
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | A.J. BrownWR, NE, Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 p.m. ET | Denzel BostonWR, CLE, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.8 | 10.3 |
| PPR projection | 13.3 | 11.8 |
| Standard projection | 8.3 | 8.9 |
| Rank this week | WR22 | WR23 |
| Matchup | at CHI | at TEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.2 | 10.5 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 92% |
| Trade value | 5 | 3 |