DeVonta SmithorWan'Dale Robinson?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean DeVonta Smith
DeVonta Smith outscores Wan'Dale Robinson in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Wan'Dale Robinson comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean DeVonta Smith, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. DeVonta Smith projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Wan'Dale Robinson has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (15% more than average to WRs); DeVonta Smith faces the Los Angeles Rams (2% more than average to WRs). DeVonta Smith still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 9.8
- Ceiling
- 22.1
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 19.8
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DeVonta SmithWR, PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Wan'Dale RobinsonWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.3 | 10.4 |
| PPR projection | 14.1 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 8.6 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | WR16 | WR20 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.0 | 7.6 |
| Last season per game | 9.6 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 63% |
| Trade value | 16 | 5 |