Justin JeffersonorTee Higgins?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Tee Higgins
Tee Higgins outscores Justin Jefferson in 66% of simulations.
Justin Jefferson still comes out ahead in the other 34%, so Tee Higgins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tee Higgins projects 5.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Tee Higgins faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (2% more than average to WRs), Justin Jefferson faces the Green Bay Packers (7% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 9.7
- Ceiling
- 19.3
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 14.3
- Ceiling
- 30.4
- Big game (20+):
- 29%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Justin JeffersonWR, MIN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.0 | 16.3 |
| PPR projection | 13.5 | 19.0 |
| Standard projection | 8.6 | 13.6 |
| Rank this week | WR18 | WR4 |
| Matchup | at GB | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.4 | 17.0 |
| Last season per game | 9.4 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 98% | 68% |
| Trade value | 13 | 61 |