A.J. BrownorMatthew Golden?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Matthew Golden
Matthew Golden outscores A.J. Brown in 57% of simulations.
A.J. Brown still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Matthew Golden is the better bet, not a sure thing. Matthew Golden projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Matthew Golden has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (24% more than average to WRs); A.J. Brown faces the New York Jets (5% fewer than average to WRs). A.J. Brown is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 18.7
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 28%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | A.J. BrownWR, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Matthew GoldenWR, GB, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 11.6 | 12.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 8.2 |
| Rank this week | WR18 | WR16 |
| Matchup | vs NYJ | vs DAL |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.1 | 13.3 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | 4.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 44% | 77% |
| Trade value | 16 | 3 |