A.J. BrownorMichael Wilson?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson outscores A.J. Brown in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: A.J. Brown comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Michael Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Wilson projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Michael Wilson faces the Los Angeles Rams (2% fewer than average to WRs), A.J. Brown faces the New York Jets (5% fewer than average to WRs). A.J. Brown is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 20.4
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | A.J. BrownWR, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 11.6 | 12.8 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | WR18 | WR15 |
| Matchup | vs NYJ | at LAR |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.1 | 9.9 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 44% | 84% |
| Trade value | 16 | 12 |