Carnell TateorMichael Wilson?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Carnell Tate
Carnell Tate outscores Michael Wilson in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Michael Wilson comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Carnell Tate, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Carnell Tate projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Carnell Tate has the better matchup against the Cleveland Browns (4% fewer than average to WRs); Michael Wilson faces the Denver Broncos (14% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 18.0
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Carnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.3 | 8.8 |
| PPR projection | 11.7 | 11.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.9 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | WR27 | WR31 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | vs DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.8 | 9.1 |
| Last season per game | — | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 74% | 92% |
| Trade value | 3 | 4 |