Cam SkatteboorMichael Wilson?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Cam Skattebo
Cam Skattebo outscores Michael Wilson in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Michael Wilson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Cam Skattebo, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 12.8 half-PPR points in Week 5. Michael Wilson has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (25% more than average to WRs); Cam Skattebo faces the Washington Commanders (6% more than average to RBs). Cam Skattebo still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Cam Skattebo wins 60%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.7
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 22.0
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 11.0
- Ceiling
- 25.5
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Cam SkatteboRB, NYG, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 12.8 |
| PPR projection | 14.1 | 15.9 |
| Standard projection | 11.5 | 9.6 |
| Rank this week | RB11 | WR10 |
| Matchup | at WAS | vs DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 11.1 |
| Last season per game | 14.5 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 94% |
| Trade value | 26 | 21 |