Michael WilsonorTerry McLaurin?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson outscores Terry McLaurin in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Terry McLaurin comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Michael Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Wilson projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Michael Wilson faces the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs), Terry McLaurin faces the San Francisco 49ers (3% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Terry McLaurin is the pick at 51%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 8.8
- Ceiling
- 20.8
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 15.9
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET | Terry McLaurinWR, WAS, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.4 | 9.3 |
| PPR projection | 13.0 | 11.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.7 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | WR17 | WR21 |
| Matchup | at LAR | at SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.9 | 8.8 |
| Last season per game | 10.7 | 9.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 58% |
| Trade value | 14 | 8 |