Emeka EgbukaorTerry McLaurin?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin outscores Emeka Egbuka in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Emeka Egbuka comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Terry McLaurin, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Terry McLaurin projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Terry McLaurin has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (15% more than average to WRs); Emeka Egbuka faces the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Emeka Egbuka
Floor
2.5
Median
8.1
Ceiling
18.6
Big game (20+):
8%
Dud (under 6):
35%
Terry McLaurin
Floor
3.6
Median
8.9
Ceiling
17.5
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
27%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatEmeka EgbukaWR, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETTerry McLaurinWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.510.2
PPR projection11.612.2
Standard projection7.58.2
Rank this weekWR24WR20
Matchupvs GBvs IND
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.88.4
Last season per game9.79.5
Snap share, last game74%75%
Trade value34