Deebo Samuel Sr.orMichael Wilson?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Deebo Samuel Sr.
Deebo Samuel Sr. outscores Michael Wilson in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Michael Wilson comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Deebo Samuel Sr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Deebo Samuel Sr. projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Deebo Samuel Sr. has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs); Michael Wilson faces the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 8.8
- Ceiling
- 20.8
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Deebo Samuel Sr.WR, SF, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.7 | 10.4 |
| PPR projection | 12.8 | 13.0 |
| Standard projection | 8.6 | 7.7 |
| Rank this week | WR16 | WR17 |
| Matchup | vs WAS | at LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.5 | 9.9 |
| Last season per game | 9.5 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 43% | 84% |
| Trade value | 10 | 14 |