Malik NabersorWan'Dale Robinson?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Wan'Dale Robinson
Wan'Dale Robinson outscores Malik Nabers in 58% of simulations.
Malik Nabers still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Wan'Dale Robinson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Wan'Dale Robinson projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Wan'Dale Robinson has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (15% more than average to WRs); Malik Nabers faces the Arizona Cardinals (6% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 21.2
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 20.4
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 29%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Malik NabersWR, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Wan'Dale RobinsonWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.8 | 10.7 |
| PPR projection | 12.0 | 13.6 |
| Standard projection | 7.6 | 7.8 |
| Rank this week | WR21 | WR18 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.2 | 7.6 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 78% | 63% |
| Trade value | 4 | 6 |