Emeka EgbukaorMichael Wilson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson outscores Emeka Egbuka in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Emeka Egbuka comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Michael Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Wilson projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Emeka Egbuka has the better matchup against the Chicago Bears (12% more than average to WRs); Michael Wilson faces the Seattle Seahawks (21% fewer than average to WRs). Michael Wilson still wins more often despite that. Emeka Egbuka is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 19.7
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Emeka EgbukaWR, TB, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.6 | 9.9 |
| PPR projection | 11.7 | 12.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | WR21 | WR19 |
| Matchup | at CHI | at SEA |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.5 | 10.8 |
| Last season per game | 9.7 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 79% |
| Trade value | 8 | 17 |