Emeka EgbukaorMalik Nabers?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Emeka Egbuka
Emeka Egbuka outscores Malik Nabers in 56% of simulations.
Malik Nabers still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Emeka Egbuka is the better bet, not a sure thing. Emeka Egbuka projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Emeka Egbuka faces the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs), Malik Nabers faces the Arizona Cardinals (6% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 18.6
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Emeka EgbukaWR, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Malik NabersWR, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.5 | 9.1 |
| PPR projection | 11.6 | 11.3 |
| Standard projection | 7.5 | 6.9 |
| Rank this week | WR24 | WR27 |
| Matchup | vs GB | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.8 | 5.2 |
| Last season per game | 9.7 | 12.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 74% | 78% |
| Trade value | 3 | 1 |