Michael WilsonorTre Tucker?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson outscores Tre Tucker in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tre Tucker comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Michael Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Wilson projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Tre Tucker has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (1% fewer than average to WRs); Michael Wilson faces the Seattle Seahawks (21% fewer than average to WRs). Michael Wilson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 19.7
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 21.1
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tre TuckerWR, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.9 | 9.5 |
| PPR projection | 12.2 | 11.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.6 | 7.8 |
| Rank this week | WR19 | WR22 |
| Matchup | at SEA | at SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.8 | 10.7 |
| Last season per game | 10.7 | 7.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 79% | 54% |
| Trade value | 17 | 6 |