Jaylen WaddleorStefon Diggs?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Stefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs outscores Jaylen Waddle in 60% of simulations.
Jaylen Waddle still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Stefon Diggs is the better bet, not a sure thing. Stefon Diggs projects 1.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Stefon Diggs faces the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to WRs), Jaylen Waddle faces the Carolina Panthers (11% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 15.5
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 38%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 18.0
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Stefon DiggsWR, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.4 | 10.3 |
| PPR projection | 10.2 | 12.6 |
| Standard projection | 6.7 | 8.0 |
| Rank this week | WR24 | WR17 |
| Matchup | at CAR | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.0 | 11.5 |
| Last season per game | 10.1 | 9.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 45% | 65% |
| Trade value | 1 | 14 |