Jaylen WaddleorRome Odunze?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jaylen Waddle
Jaylen Waddle outscores Rome Odunze in 57% of simulations.
Rome Odunze still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Jaylen Waddle is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jaylen Waddle projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Jaylen Waddle faces the San Francisco 49ers (1% fewer than average to WRs), Rome Odunze faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 16.4
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Rome OdunzeWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| PPR projection | 11.3 | 10.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 6.9 |
| Rank this week | WR23 | WR27 |
| Matchup | at SF | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.0 | 6.0 |
| Last season per game | 10.1 | 10.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 85% |
| Trade value | 4 | — |