Jaylen WaddleorRyan Flournoy?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jaylen Waddle
Jaylen Waddle outscores Ryan Flournoy in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ryan Flournoy comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jaylen Waddle, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ryan Flournoy projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Ryan Flournoy has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (3% more than average to WRs); Jaylen Waddle faces the Kansas City Chiefs (20% fewer than average to WRs). Jaylen Waddle still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 13.6
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET | Ryan FlournoyWR, DAL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.3 | 7.5 |
| PPR projection | 9.0 | 9.3 |
| Standard projection | 5.6 | 5.7 |
| Rank this week | WR40 | WR39 |
| Matchup | vs KC | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.3 | 7.1 |
| Last season per game | 10.1 | 6.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 56% | 78% |
| Trade value | — | — |