DJ MooreorJaylen Waddle?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jaylen Waddle
Jaylen Waddle outscores DJ Moore in 55% of simulations.
DJ Moore still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Jaylen Waddle is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jaylen Waddle projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Jaylen Waddle faces the San Francisco 49ers (1% fewer than average to WRs), DJ Moore faces the New England Patriots (3% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 17.8
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 17.5
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DJ MooreWR, BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.6 | 9.4 |
| PPR projection | 10.2 | 11.3 |
| Standard projection | 7.0 | 7.4 |
| Rank this week | WR30 | WR28 |
| Matchup | vs NE | at SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.4 | 8.0 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 10.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 73% |
| Trade value | — | 3 |