DJ MooreorKeenan Allen?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Keenan Allen
Keenan Allen outscores DJ Moore in 57% of simulations.
DJ Moore still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Keenan Allen is the better bet, not a sure thing. Keenan Allen projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Keenan Allen has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs); DJ Moore faces the New York Jets (6% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Keenan Allen wins 51%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 16.7
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 16.4
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DJ MooreWR, BUF, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Keenan AllenWR, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.0 | 8.9 |
| PPR projection | 9.5 | 11.7 |
| Standard projection | 6.5 | 6.1 |
| Rank this week | WR29 | WR25 |
| Matchup | at NYJ | at DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.3 | 7.6 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 8.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 59% | 56% |
| Trade value | — | — |