DK MetcalforQuentin Johnston?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Quentin Johnston
Quentin Johnston outscores DK Metcalf in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DK Metcalf comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Quentin Johnston, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Quentin Johnston projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Quentin Johnston has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (12% more than average to WRs); DK Metcalf faces the Cincinnati Bengals (10% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Quentin Johnston wins 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 38%
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 16.8
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DK MetcalfWR, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Quentin JohnstonWR, LAC, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.0 | 9.0 |
| PPR projection | 9.9 | 10.4 |
| Standard projection | 6.1 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | WR32 | WR28 |
| Matchup | at CIN | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.7 | 5.6 |
| Last season per game | 10.5 | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 83% |
| Trade value | — | — |