DeMario DouglasorQuentin Johnston?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Quentin Johnston
Quentin Johnston outscores DeMario Douglas in 60% of simulations.
DeMario Douglas still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Quentin Johnston is the better bet, not a sure thing. Quentin Johnston projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. DeMario Douglas has the better matchup against the New York Jets (5% fewer than average to WRs); Quentin Johnston faces the Kansas City Chiefs (22% fewer than average to WRs). Quentin Johnston still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 4.5
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 61%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 12.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DeMario DouglasWR, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Quentin JohnstonWR, LAC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.3 | 6.9 |
| PPR projection | 7.4 | 8.2 |
| Standard projection | 5.2 | 5.6 |
| Rank this week | WR47 | WR43 |
| Matchup | vs NYJ | at KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.6 | 3.6 |
| Last season per game | 5.0 | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 49% | 75% |
| Trade value | — | — |