DeMario DouglasorTory Horton?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Tory Horton

Tory Horton outscores DeMario Douglas in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: DeMario Douglas comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Tory Horton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tory Horton projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. DeMario Douglas has the better matchup against the New York Jets (5% fewer than average to WRs); Tory Horton faces the Denver Broncos (19% fewer than average to WRs). Tory Horton still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

DeMario Douglas
Floor
0.9
Median
4.5
Ceiling
14.0
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
61%
Tory Horton
Floor
1.2
Median
5.1
Ceiling
13.4
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
58%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDeMario DouglasWR, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETTory HortonWR, SEA, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.36.4
PPR projection7.47.1
Standard projection5.25.6
Rank this weekWR38WR37
Matchupvs NYJat DEN
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.66.7
Last season per game5.07.3
Snap share, last game49%17%
Trade value——