Chris Godwin Jr.orLadd McConkey?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Ladd McConkey
Ladd McConkey outscores Chris Godwin Jr. in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chris Godwin Jr. comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Ladd McConkey, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ladd McConkey projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Chris Godwin Jr. has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs); Ladd McConkey faces the Seattle Seahawks (20% fewer than average to WRs). Ladd McConkey still wins more often despite that. Ladd McConkey is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 13.0
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.9
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Godwin Jr.WR, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ladd McConkeyWR, LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.0 | 7.5 |
| PPR projection | 8.8 | 9.1 |
| Standard projection | 5.2 | 5.9 |
| Rank this week | WR44 | WR40 |
| Matchup | vs GB | at SEA |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 5.9 | 10.1 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | 9.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 62% | 88% |
| Trade value | — | 3 |