Carnell TateorChris Godwin Jr.?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Carnell Tate
Carnell Tate outscores Chris Godwin Jr. in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chris Godwin Jr. comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Carnell Tate, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Carnell Tate projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Carnell Tate has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (15% more than average to WRs); Chris Godwin Jr. faces the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 12.0
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 5.8
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 52%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Carnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Chris Godwin Jr.WR, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.0 | 6.8 |
| PPR projection | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| Standard projection | 4.6 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | WR42 | WR45 |
| Matchup | at BAL | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.3 | 5.9 |
| Last season per game | — | 7.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 88% | 62% |
| Trade value | — | — |