Carnell TateorQuentin Johnston?

Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston outscores Carnell Tate in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Carnell Tate comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Quentin Johnston, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Carnell Tate projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Quentin Johnston has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (12% more than average to WRs); Carnell Tate faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (2% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Quentin Johnston wins 56%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Carnell Tate
Floor
2.7
Median
7.7
Ceiling
17.4
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
37%
Quentin Johnston
Floor
2.9
Median
7.9
Ceiling
16.8
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
35%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatCarnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETQuentin JohnstonWR, LAC, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.19.0
PPR projection11.610.4
Standard projection6.67.6
Rank this weekWR32WR34
Matchupvs JAXat BAL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.65.6
Last season per game—11.2
Snap share, last game89%83%
Trade value——