DeMario DouglasorKeenan Allen?

Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean DeMario Douglas

DeMario Douglas outscores Keenan Allen in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Keenan Allen comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean DeMario Douglas, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. DeMario Douglas projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. DeMario Douglas has the better matchup against the Chicago Bears (14% more than average to WRs); Keenan Allen faces the Minnesota Vikings (21% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

DeMario Douglas
Floor
1.4
Median
6.3
Ceiling
18.1
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
48%
Keenan Allen
Floor
2.1
Median
6.4
Ceiling
14.0
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
46%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDeMario DouglasWR, NE, Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 p.m. ETKeenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.47.6
PPR projection10.09.8
Standard projection6.95.3
Rank this weekWR35WR38
Matchupat CHIat MIN
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.28.3
Last season per game5.08.4
Snap share, last game59%71%
Trade value——