Keenan AllenorRome Odunze?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Rome Odunze
Rome Odunze outscores Keenan Allen in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Keenan Allen comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Rome Odunze, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Rome Odunze projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Keenan Allen has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (23% more than average to WRs); Rome Odunze faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs). Rome Odunze still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Rome Odunze wins 55%. Keenan Allen is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 17.2
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 16.4
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Keenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET | Rome OdunzeWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.4 | 8.5 |
| PPR projection | 10.8 | 10.2 |
| Standard projection | 6.1 | 6.9 |
| Rank this week | WR31 | WR30 |
| Matchup | at WAS | vs NYJ |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.5 | 6.0 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 10.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 85% |
| Trade value | — | — |