Jakobi MeyersorKeenan Allen?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jakobi Meyers
Jakobi Meyers outscores Keenan Allen in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Keenan Allen comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Jakobi Meyers, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jakobi Meyers projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Keenan Allen has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (23% more than average to WRs); Jakobi Meyers faces the Cincinnati Bengals (13% fewer than average to WRs). Jakobi Meyers still wins more often despite that. Keenan Allen is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 7.7
- Ceiling
- 14.5
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 17.2
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jakobi MeyersWR, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Keenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| PPR projection | 10.5 | 10.8 |
| Standard projection | 6.6 | 6.1 |
| Rank this week | WR29 | WR31 |
| Matchup | at CIN | at WAS |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 7.5 |
| Last season per game | 8.6 | 8.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 73% |
| Trade value | 2 | — |