Garrett WilsonorJakobi Meyers?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Garrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson outscores Jakobi Meyers in 56% of simulations.
Jakobi Meyers still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Garrett Wilson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Garrett Wilson projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Jakobi Meyers has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (14% more than average to WRs); Garrett Wilson faces the Kansas City Chiefs (18% fewer than average to WRs). Garrett Wilson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 8.7
- Ceiling
- 18.3
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 7.7
- Ceiling
- 14.7
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jakobi MeyersWR, JAX, Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.9 | 8.5 |
| PPR projection | 12.2 | 10.5 |
| Standard projection | 7.6 | 6.4 |
| Rank this week | WR22 | WR26 |
| Matchup | at KC | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.5 | 7.7 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 8.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 54% |
| Trade value | 18 | — |