Garrett WilsonorJustin Jefferson?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Justin Jefferson
Justin Jefferson outscores Garrett Wilson in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Garrett Wilson comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Justin Jefferson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Justin Jefferson projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Justin Jefferson has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (7% more than average to WRs); Garrett Wilson faces the Buffalo Bills (2% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 9.4
- Ceiling
- 20.2
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 9.7
- Ceiling
- 19.3
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Justin JeffersonWR, MIN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.9 | 11.0 |
| PPR projection | 13.4 | 13.5 |
| Standard projection | 8.4 | 8.6 |
| Rank this week | WR22 | WR20 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.5 | 11.4 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 9.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 98% |
| Trade value | 15 | 13 |