Caleb DouglasorGarrett Wilson?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Caleb Douglas
Caleb Douglas outscores Garrett Wilson in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Garrett Wilson comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Caleb Douglas, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Caleb Douglas projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Caleb Douglas faces the New England Patriots (1% fewer than average to WRs), Garrett Wilson faces the Las Vegas Raiders (5% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 10.4
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 25%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 9.7
- Ceiling
- 21.2
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Caleb DouglasWR, MIA, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.0 | 11.3 |
| PPR projection | 13.4 | 13.9 |
| Standard projection | 10.6 | 8.8 |
| Rank this week | WR13 | WR14 |
| Matchup | vs NE | vs LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.6 | 11.6 |
| Last season per game | — | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 68% | 85% |
| Trade value | 27 | 17 |