Garrett WilsonorTre Tucker?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Garrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson outscores Tre Tucker in 57% of simulations.
Tre Tucker still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Garrett Wilson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Garrett Wilson projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Tre Tucker has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Rams (4% fewer than average to WRs); Garrett Wilson faces the Miami Dolphins (14% fewer than average to WRs). Garrett Wilson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.6
- Median
- 9.7
- Ceiling
- 20.4
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 25%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 21.9
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 40%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tre TuckerWR, LV, Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.1 | 10.0 |
| PPR projection | 13.6 | 11.8 |
| Standard projection | 8.6 | 8.1 |
| Rank this week | WR20 | WR24 |
| Matchup | vs MIA | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.9 | 11.1 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 7.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 98% | 70% |
| Trade value | 18 | 7 |