Garrett WilsonorRashee Rice?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Rashee Rice
Rashee Rice outscores Garrett Wilson in 67% of simulations.
Garrett Wilson still comes out ahead in the other 33%, so Rashee Rice is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rashee Rice projects 3.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Rashee Rice has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (8% more than average to WRs); Garrett Wilson faces the Buffalo Bills (2% fewer than average to WRs). Garrett Wilson is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 19.2
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.8 | 13.6 |
| PPR projection | 12.1 | 16.7 |
| Standard projection | 7.6 | 10.5 |
| Rank this week | WR22 | WR6 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | at ATL |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.5 | 10.7 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 15.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 58% |
| Trade value | 17 | 37 |