Garrett WilsonorJordan Watkins?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Garrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson outscores Jordan Watkins in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jordan Watkins comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Garrett Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Garrett Wilson projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Jordan Watkins has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs); Garrett Wilson faces the Buffalo Bills (2% fewer than average to WRs). Garrett Wilson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 9.5
- Ceiling
- 20.3
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.7
- Ceiling
- 19.0
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jordan WatkinsWR, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.9 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 13.4 | 11.7 |
| Standard projection | 8.4 | 8.7 |
| Rank this week | WR20 | WR24 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | at DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.5 | 8.3 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 1.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 77% |
| Trade value | 15 | — |